Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 587SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 587 · ORD → IAD
departs 2:26 PM CT · arrives 5:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.