tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

BAHAMASAIR · FLIGHT UP 238 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UP 238 · MCO → NAS

departs 2:53 PM ET · arrives 4:19 PM EDT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to NAS?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.