Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1152
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow
WN 1152 · BWI → SAT
departs 6:31 PM ET · arrives 9:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 22%
Fri 10/16 22%
Mon 10/19 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAT (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.