WN 1385 · DAL → SDF

departs 12:18 PM CT · arrives 3:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SDF?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SDF that day

↑ 12pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SDF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SDF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1385 · DAL → SDF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SDF?