Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1555
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 1555 · DEN → BZN
departs 5:52 PM MT · arrives 7:36 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Tue 10/13 20%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 36%
Fri 10/16 38%
Sat 10/17 32%
Sun 10/18 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at BZN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BZN?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BZN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.733333 mi Precip 0.24 in
BZN (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.