Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1582
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow
WN 1582 · DTW → MDW
departs 7:30 PM ET · arrives 7:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 30%
Fri 10/16 28%
Sun 10/18 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↑
7pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.