Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1728
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 1728 · DEN → ATL
departs 1:35 PM MT · arrives 6:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Tue 10/13 24%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 11%
Sat 10/17 8%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
This flight has been late 48% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip 0.42 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.