Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1843
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 1843 · HOU → DEN
departs 8:46 AM CT · arrives 10:12 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13 29%
Wed 10/14
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
DEN is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
8am departures from HOU are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.733333 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.