Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2208
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 2208 · SEA → AUS
departs 8:56 AM PT · arrives 2:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13 22%
Wed 10/14
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SEA that day
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.