Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2208
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 2208 · SJC → SEA
departs 6:01 AM PT · arrives 8:07 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13 6%
Wed 10/14
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
3%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
SJC is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from SJC are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.