Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 2282 · LAS → DEN
departs 1:59 PM PT · arrives 4:49 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Tue 10/13 37%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 41%
Fri 10/16 36%
Sat 10/17 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
62%
chance · ±6 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
62%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
1pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.733333 mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.