Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2466
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 2466 · LAX → DAL
departs 12:52 AM PT · arrives 5:51 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 13%
Fri 10/16 13%
Sat 10/17 8%
Sun 10/18 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 1,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.