Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2519
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 2519 · SLC → DEN
departs 1:54 PM MT · arrives 3:22 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13 33%
Wed 10/14
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.42 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.