Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2626
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 2626 · MCI → FLL
departs 4:56 PM CT · arrives 8:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13 22%
Wed 10/14
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.27 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.