Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 420 SCHEDULED

Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow

WN 420 · MCO → BUF

departs 9:11 AM ET · arrives 11:49 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↑ MCO is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 420 · MCO → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?