Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 713
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
WN 713 · DEN → LAS
departs 2:48 PM MT · arrives 3:40 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13 30%
Wed 10/14
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
2pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.42 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.