Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 8508 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

WN 8508 · VQQ → MCO

departs 12:01 AM ET · arrives 12:57 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ VQQ is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

VQQ (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 8508 · VQQ → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?