tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4016 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 4016 · IAD → IND

departs 5:11 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
23% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IND?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.