Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3660
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow
YX 3660 · EWR → YOW
departs 3:00 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 18%
Fri 10/16 27%
Sat 10/17 17%
Sun 10/18 19%
Mon 10/19 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at YOW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YOW?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
3pm departures from EWR are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 4,400 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
YOW (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 2.33333 mi
Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.