Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3666
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
YX 3666 · EWR → PIT
departs 2:05 PM ET · arrives 3:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 29%
Sat 10/17 18%
Sun 10/18 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from EWR are often late
↑
EWR is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
PIT (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.