tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4709 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 4709 · BOS → ROC

departs 3:43 PM ET · arrives 5:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
21% chance · ±7 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ROC?

  1. On time or early
    78%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.