Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5655
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
YX 5655 · BOS → CLE
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 11:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Tue 10/13 50%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 30%
Fri 10/16 34%
Sat 10/17 23%
Sun 10/18 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip 0.08 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.