Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5679
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
YX 5679 · BOS → PIT
departs 8:44 PM ET · arrives 10:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/13 56%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 28%
Fri 10/16 36%
Sat 10/17 25%
Sun 10/18 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip 0.08 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 1,700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.