Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5755
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
YX 5755 · BOS → LGA
departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 12:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Tue 10/13 22%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 26%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from BOS are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.