Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ZIPAIR · FLIGHT ZG 23 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

ZG 23 · LAX → NRT

departs 10:36 AM PT · arrives 1:50 PM JST
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to NRT?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.