Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1 · JFK → LAX
departs 9:00 AM ET · arrives 11:58 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±3 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.