Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2849SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2849 · RDU → ORD
departs 6:03 AM ET · arrives 7:28 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.