tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 825 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 825 · PHL → BDA

departs 8:15 AM ET · arrives 11:31 AM ADT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Arrive at BDA more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BDA?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.