tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 21 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AV 21 · JFK → BOG

departs 7:41 AM ET · arrives 1:32 PM -05
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOG?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.