Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1382
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
B6 1382 · IAH → JFK
departs 11:26 AM CT · arrives 3:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Tue 10/13 34%
Wed 10/14 22%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 41%
Sat 10/17 35%
Sun 10/18 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±6 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
11am departures from IAH are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,267 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.