Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 145
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
B6 145 · RIC → FLL
departs 3:00 PM ET · arrives 5:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Tue 10/13 22%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 36%
Sat 10/17 35%
Sun 10/18 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
3pm departures from RIC are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RIC (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.