Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2186
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15 Tomorrow
B6 2186 · PIT → BOS
departs 8:38 PM ET · arrives 10:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 39%
Sat 10/17 26%
Sun 10/18 22%
Mon 10/19 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.