Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2860
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
B6 2860 · FLL → BDL
departs 6:55 AM ET · arrives 9:57 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Tue 10/13 9%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 13%
Sat 10/17 17%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BDL (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.