Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 818
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
B6 818 · JFK → BOS
departs 6:25 PM ET · arrives 7:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Tue 10/13 78%
Wed 10/14 41%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 67%
Sat 10/17 56%
Sun 10/18 52%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±14 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.