Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 865
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
B6 865 · BUF → FLL
departs 7:07 AM ET · arrives 10:23 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Tue 10/13 12%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.