Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1343
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
DL 1343 · DTW → MKE
departs 3:50 PM ET · arrives 4:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 22%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MKE that day
↑
Other factors
↑
3pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.12 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.