tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1823 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

DL 1823 · LGA → DTW

departs 7:31 AM ET · arrives 9:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DTW?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.