Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1830
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
DL 1830 · ATL → GUA
departs 10:17 AM ET · arrives 1:57 PM CST
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Tue 10/13 7%
Wed 10/14 5%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 8%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at GUA more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GUA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at GUA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GUA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↑
This route's recent record
↑
10am departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
GUA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.