Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1893
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
DL 1893 · LAS → SLC
departs 10:10 AM PT · arrives 12:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14 11%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 12%
Sun 10/18 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
10am departures from LAS are often late
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into SLC at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.