Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1101
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
F9 1101 · PHL → ATL
departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 2:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Tue 10/13 23%
Wed 10/14 19%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 39%
Sat 10/17 24%
Sun 10/18 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
12pm departures from PHL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.