Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 529
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
G4 529 · AVL → FLL
departs 3:08 PM ET · arrives 5:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/15
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at AVL that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.