Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 183 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

KG 183 · DEN → GJT

departs 6:32 AM MT · arrives 7:43 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at GJT more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GJT?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DEN are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.23 in

GJT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 183 · DEN → GJT

Odds over time

How late will it get to GJT?