Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 3712 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

KG 3712 · DEN → TEX

departs 11:29 AM MT · arrives 12:46 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at TEX more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TEX?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into TEX at that hour are usually not late

↓ TEX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.39 in

TEX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 3712 · DEN → TEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to TEX?