Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 3714 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

KG 3714 · TEX → DEN

departs 12:39 PM MT · arrives 1:52 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 67h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TEX

↓ KG's recent on-time record

↓ 12pm departures from TEX are usually not late

Weather at each end

TEX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

DEN (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 3714 · TEX → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?