Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1811
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15 Tomorrow
MX 1811 · JAX → FLL
departs 9:42 PM ET · arrives 11:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/15
Sun 10/18 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.