Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 404
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
MX 404 · CHS → ACY
departs 9:19 AM ET · arrives 11:08 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 10/13 8%
Wed 10/14 10%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 10%
Sun 10/18 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ACY more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ACY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ACY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ACY?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
MX's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into ACY at that hour are often late
↑
ACY is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS
↓
9am departures from CHS are usually not late
Weather at each end
CHS (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 2 mi Precip none
ACY (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.