Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PSA · FLIGHT OH 5227SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
OH 5227 · PHL → MSN
departs 10:48 AM ET · arrives 12:41 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±0 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MSN?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.