Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5297 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

OH 5297 · AVL → PHL

departs 1:22 PM ET · arrives 3:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5297 · AVL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?