Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5365 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

OH 5365 · PHL → CVG

departs 1:23 PM ET · arrives 3:26 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at CVG that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Arrivals into CVG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5365 · PHL → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?