Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5492 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

OH 5492 · PHL → CHS

departs 8:52 AM ET · arrives 10:56 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ Visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at CHS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

CHS (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5492 · PHL → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?